CC4 112,533 119,027 6,359 3,012 HD138 59.62% 40.38% Beto versus the spread JP5 52.14% 47.86% Monday is the first day of early voting in the Texas March 1 primary election. HD144 46.51% 53.45% 0.03% HD128 68.08% 29.53% 2.39% In counties like Brazoria and Montgomery, population growth near the Harris County border has led to some burgeoning Democratic turf, mostly around Pearland for the former and around the Woodlands for the latter. HD126 36,849 21,629 1,070 1 May's election contest is ongoing. No one wants all this hard work to go to waste. Miller 184,139 324,228 37.39% 54.64% Currently, Paxton can only get involved if invited by a district or county attorney, according to the courts ruling. ============================= County Judge David Blackburn joined the meeting remotely, and Schumann chaired the meeting. What I did was add up the Republican and Democratic votes for each candidate in those races there were four that year, as there were this year and then took the difference. HD140 30.50% 66.12% 3.37% Experience: Joseph Sanchez began his career as a prosecutor at the Montgomery County District Attorneys office where he assisted in establishing the offices DWI Pre-Trial Intervention Program in November 2012. Beto versus the spread. ============================= "Several of them are considering election contests.". CC3 63.17% 36.83% Take Action. As happened last fall, Hegar and County Administrator David Berry have used different methods to project out Heaps seven-month budget to a full year. And that matters because whenever theres large amounts of money at stake, the potential for ethical issues arises. CC3 60.63% 36.12% 2.24% 1.02% And if I flap my arms and think happy thoughts, I could fly. In a unanimous vote on Thursday, Bell County commissioners agreed to file a lawsuit against Killeen over the citys adoption of Proposition A, the ballot measure that was approved by voters in November to decriminalize marijuana in Killeen. HD138 52.98% 44.60% 2.42% I filter out precincts with ten or fewer votes cast in the Houston proposition elections, which is arbitrary and still yields more total votes than in the prop races themselves, but its close enough for these purposes. Buckingham 184,006 323,967 37.41% 54.65% That range is consistent across years, across baseline Democratic performance levels, across different types of judicial races. Matthew Dexter is represented by Elizabeth Alvarez. None of us got 70% of the votes. As noted, I dont have a whole lot of data for this from previous elections, but what I do have can be found in these posts: There were city propositions in 2010, for red light cameras and ReNew Houston, but I didnt do the same city-versus-not-city comparisons that year, almost certainly because 2010 was such a miserable year and I just didnt want to spend any more time thinking about it than I had to. Whether it will get a similarly chilly reception from City Council or Commissioners Court remains to be seen. To make its case, Mealers legal team will have to find evidence that more than 18,000 voters were unable to cast ballots on Election Day, and that all of those voters planned to vote for Mealer, Stein said. Theyre trying to do something about that, but they really cant, not right now. Note that as yet, not a single person has been identified as someone who showed up at a voting center on Election Day, was actually unable to cast a ballot while there because of paper issues, left before the problem was resolved, was unable to go to any of the 750 other voting locations in the county, and ultimately did not cast a ballot. CC3 214,555 146,441 8,815 Which brings me to the second point of interest, which is really hammering the message home about voting all the way down the ballot. HD142 26.27% 73.73% The bigger issue here remains the fact that state and federal law are much stricter about marijuana than the public wants them to be. Susan Hays did pretty well compared to the other Dems in that straight up two-way race: Miller was definitely a slight notch up from the first three. HD147 20.37% 75.10% 2.95% 1.58% HD144 44.67% 50.89% 4.44% The X-axis is where they are on the ballot, so on the left we start with the appellate races, then go through the district and family courts, then into the county civil, criminal, and finally probate courts. The Evaluation opened on Oct. 21 and closed on Nov. 8. During the election CIA knocked on 300,000 doors. HD149 38.79% 58.96% 2.25% 0.00% As weve discussed, there is consistently a three-to-four point range between the top-scoring Democratic judicial candidate and the lowest-scoring one. JP7 13,972 64,220 27 She got 553K votes, which is 42K less than Beto. Experience: Chris Morton worked as Assistant District Attorney with Harris County for four and half years in the Trial Division, prosecuting thousands of cases ranging from the most minor of traffic tickets to the most serious of offensescapital murder. 2023-01067; Dan Spjut v. Judge Juanita Jackson. JP6 4,941 17,062 885 JP5 147,642 135,687 Erin A. Nowell. Hays 308,304 269,169 62.61% 45.36% If the margin is 60-40, the net gain is about 500 votes. Third, I kind of suspect that in the same way that the TEA probably doesnt actually want to take over HISD, the SOS probably wants no part of administering Harris County elections. According to the Texas Courts website, "district . For sure, its hard to imagine much money spent on Republicans locally in 2024. HD127 62.08% 37.92% Nick Stevens, a board member of the advocacy group Decriminalize Denton, said later Tuesday evening at the City Council meeting that what some council members and city staff are saying publicly is different than what they claimed privately. HD130 71.91% 28.07% 0.02% Phelan was one of the few lawmakers to address the Uvalde shooting when the legislative session began Tuesday, promising sensible, meaningful change. Republican leaders have focused on bolstering mental health resources and improving the physical defenses of schools both of which have bipartisan support as the session starts. HD127 62.90% 37.09% 0.01% If they got new information that caused them to reopen the investigation, they wouldnt want to convey to anybody that No, we will never look at this again, Bash said. SD06 35.59% 64.38% 0.03% The thing that strikes me about Allred is that hes in a similar situation that his colleague Rep. Joaquin Castro was in 2017 and being talked about a run against Cruz in that cycle. None of us. But we have a public defender now, and yet we still have judges who make a whole lot of appointments to the same handful of attorneys. Hegars claim is a repeat of a fight thatalready played outbetween the comptroller and Harris County last August. JP7 12,934 64,034 HD128 70.40% 29.60% Even in 2020, the two losing candidates would have won with Hegars margin. JP6 5,253 16,428 881 4 The ones who get to wait until 2026 are Brandon Creighton (SD04), Mayes Middleton (SD11), Borris Miles (SD13), and Lois Kolkhorst (SD18). Well, sure, but the Republicans in the Lege, as well as the state courts, have not been shy about limiting cities authority in various matters, so I dont know how confident Id be in that position. JP7 14.44% 83.28% 2.28% JP6 5,243 17,412 He could win, and as was the case with Beto a close loss might still be a boost to whatever other prospects he ay have, but you still have to weight that against what hed be giving up. Harris County 228th Criminal District Court Judge: incumbent Frank Aguilar and challenger Sam Milledge II. JP4 57.89% 42.11% JP5 47.01% 50.53% 2.46% This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Ill post updates and candidate names as I get them. Ive looked but never found patterns that I think satisfactorily and consistently explain the variations. The Harris County Democratic Party is dedicated to the ideal that everyone deserves an equal shot at life, . Denton Municipal Judge Tyler Atkinson discussed the deferred adjudication process that is available to people who receive misdemeanor marijuana charges and how the municipal court does its best to work with offenders by lowering fines, offering community service and other opportunities. The Evaluation results for each judge appear on a separate page. HD126 36,287 21,192 1,384 648 Ferrell has served as a member of the Board for the Harris County Criminal Lawyers Association since 2017. HD126 63.38% 36.62% JP8 50,379 27,941 16 HD147 10,964 35,240 12 JP4 173,174 120,696 5,428 13 Let me close with a visual reminder of all this. JP5 149,310 134,380 HD129 58.28% 38.03% 2.50% 1.19% FOX 26 Reporter Randy Wallace shows you four district court judges who have a history of granting multiple bonds to men who keep committing crimes. Voters have moved on. Experts cited myriad reasons for the continued silence around the case: The FBI search may have yielded no evidence, indictments could be sealed, the case could still be developing or there may have been delays because law enforcement did not want to interfere with the recent November elections. HD146 22.29% 77.71% CC1 74,077 194,887 Those challenges do not amount to voter suppression, Stein said, but merely suggest that Harris County should operate fewer, better-resourced polling locations. HD147 8,809 36,618 1,383 CC2 47.94% 52.06% Anything is possible. HD149 12,496 19,196 4 By Carolina Sanchez. Heres the data for the County Judge race, in which Judge Lina Hidalgo won re-election by a close margin, though on a percentage basis it was slightly wider than her initial win in 2018. She served as an Assistant District Attorney for Harris County. HD133 35,705 23,303 HD134 34.70% 62.39% 2.92% HD148 16,238 20,657 Two-thirds of the people I talked to sign [the petition], said Ananda Tomas, executive director of ACT 4 SA, whichlaunched the petitioneffort in October. Which is what the Chron editorial board concluded a few days ago. HD135 17,148 22,783 Nelson was promoted to Chief Prosecutor in both misdemeanor and felony divisions, where she supervised junior Assistant District Attorneys and had a caseload of serial Sexual Assaults, Capital Murders, Injury to Child (fatality), and Murders. 2022 1,133,155 2,543,162 44.56%, Name Raised Spent Loans On Hand Dan Patrick joked. Turns out there was: You may have noticed that the ballot is arranged in a particular order. CC4 115,464 120,671 At this level, this is just weird. CD02 77,665 46,669 21 HD148 45.42% 54.58% Experience: Abigail Anastasio has served close to 20 years in law. Maybe such people exist and Republicans have been successful at keeping them all quiet until the lawsuits are heard, who can say. HD146 19.52% 77.78% 2.70% HD133 31,931 27,421 1,396 HD139 11,438 31,372 1,145 HD134 40.71% 57.65% 1.64% Maybe they just didnt know enough about the Dems in these races to be in a position to consider them. One way that I decided to approach this was to look at the different type of judicial races on the ballot, to see if there was anything interesting there. Since the killings at the Harding Street raid, Beall has been employed by the City of Houston to train police officers in Search and Seizure Law and to aid them in understanding the 4th Amendment protections provided to members of our community. On Wednesday, each of the chambers 31 lawmakers walked to the front of the chamber and drew lots by picking an envelope that held a pill-shaped capsule. Find ways to partner with Democratic parties in neighboring counties. It marked an awkward transition for the Uvalde activists, who have spent months advocating for gun control laws. JP2 44.36% 55.62% 0.02% Beto versus the spread Elections 2022 Statewide News Texas Election Results Tracker: . JP3 35,972 40,808 HD127 41,603 24,533 5 "I'm disappointed to see another losing candidate challenging the results of their election. She is currently a Senior Litigator at the Harris County Public Defenders Office. Even in the case of the loser who lost to DaSean Jones by 449 votes, its extremely hard to imagine there could have been enough people who encountered problems and could not vote anywhere else and would have voted for the loser to make a difference. Adrian Garcia, County Commissioner, Precinct 2 Just eyeballing the 2018 results I may go back and do these calculations for that year, just as a point of comparison I think the Dems that year did better overall than in other races, though they had about the same range of results. HD133 35,123 24,187 1,043 County races appear towards the bottom of the ballot, after all of the federal and state races. Mealer got 534K votes, 44K more than Abbott. Segovia added that opponents should challenge the validity of the amendment after the election, not before. Fortunately, we had that this year, so we can take a look at how the races of interest shaped up. McIngvale said Tuesday he believes Harris County voters were disenfranchised based on reports of paper shortages, machine malfunctions and polling locations that did not open or close on time. Hidalgos opponent Alexandra del Moral Mealer. (Im not concerning myself with fractional districts like CD08.) About 40K people on average skipped these three races, compared with a bit less than 23K for RRC. JP2 21,364 29,906 1,317 Rory Olsen is represented by Jared Woodfill. HD149 37.11% 60.69% 2.21% Therefore, even if the public does adopt the charter amendments, the charter amendments as written will not be enforceable, he said. In a few cases you can see a greater number of third-party votes, which can explain a part of a Democratic vote decline, but again the overall effect is too small to be generally explanatory. There were problems with elections back when the County Clerk specifically, Stan Stanart was in charge of running them. CC1 70,449 192,875 7,107 3,563 Neither he nor Ted Heap seems to have gotten any better at math or more truthful in general, so most likely this will play out in similar fashion. Even at the highest end of the estimate of locations that had issues, more than 90% of them did not. HD141 17.82% 77.79% 3.09% 1.31% CC1 27.54% 72.46% I do know that at least one more loser has filed a losers contest, but I dont care to give any of this any more validity. 189th Judicial District Theres more, but I dont have the mental energy to continue, so go read the rest for yourself. Cannabis reform advocates are pushing back against the city council of the Central Texas city of Harker Heights, which recently rejected a voter-approved ballot measure decriminalizing low levels of pot possession there. HD141 18.27% 78.99% 2.72% 0.01% HD148 45.64% 54.36% January 2022 reports are here, July 2022 reports are here. JP7 11,411 65,835 1,804 Alexandra del Moral Mealer,now appears to be searching for just that. Deadline to post candidate requirements 1 Form 1-15 (PDF) Monday, March 1, 2021. You may have heard me say something like this in the past, but were going to have to change our state government if we want things like this to go differently in the future. JP5 147,814 135,680 JP8 48,829 29,299 HD145 12,220 32,097 1,425 One thought Ive had about this is that the Family Courts were kind of a mess before the Dem sweep of 2018 there were some stories that made it into the papers about happenings in the Family Courts, and of course there was then-Family Court Judge Lisa Millard ruling against the city of Houston giving health insurance benefits to same-sex spouses of city employees even after DOMA had been ruled unconstitutional by SCOTUS. Based upon information to date we believe there were approximately 2,600 or more estimated voters turned away due to running out of ballot paper or machines not working for a period of time, Siegel wrote. Experience: Sam Milledge II worked for the Clark County Public Defenders Office from 2009-2011 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The names have changed but the practices have not, or at least not enough. The chairman of the Harris County Democratic Party on Wednesday announced that he would step down at the end of February. Well just have to see. There were 1,276 responses to the online Judicial Evaluation, representing 13.6% of eligible HBA members. More or less the same story here, with the distinction between Houston and not-Houston being smaller than in prior years. Im just saying its not as much as you might think. Attorney General Ken Paxtons office is urging the Texas Supreme Court to side with opponents of a proposed charter amendment that seeks to decriminalize marijuana and abortion, as well as enact a host of other police reforms. If youre in San Antonio, Id love to hear from you about this, so please send an email or leave a comment. Thats how it is for the judges. Nuff said. Commissioners Court convened the special meeting to decide on a response to Hegars claim. Appeals from the Southern District go to the United States Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit . The bad counties are the eight red ones. I did not get around to doing the 30-day and 8-day reports from 2022, so what you see here in these reports is not contiguous for those who were on last Novembers ballot. HD137 8,600 12,670 9 UPDATE: As soon as I had hit Save on this draft, I see via Stace that attorney and former HD132 candidate Silvia Mintz has announced her candidacy. Ballotpedia provided coverage of supreme court and intermediate appellate court elections, as well as local trial court elections for judges within the 100 largest cities in the United States as . ============================= If theyre going to act Id expect it to happen before SA City Council votes to put the measure on the ballot on Thursday. Indeed, were approaching the ten-year anniversary of potential statewide candidate Julian Castro territory, as those stories were being written at the start of the 2014 gubernatorial campaign. Thats an enormous increase over 2015. Im pretty sure Ive expressed this sentiment before, but if I had the power and the funds Id order a study, to try to identify these voters and ask them why they did what they did. HD137 38.73% 58.25% 3.03% Mark Montgomery, former candidate forHarris County Criminal Court at Law No. But in San Marcos, Hays County District Attorney Wes Mau has asked for the Texas attorney generals opinion on that citys decriminalization ordinance. Nelson worked as a Senior Prosecutor and a Chief Prosecutor at the Harris County District Attorneys Office for about 10 years. JP2 41.00% 55.97% 3.03% JP5 50.37% 47.67% 1.96% 0.00% SD13 21.23% 78.74% 0.04% JP6 5,130 16,223 1,342 Experience: Alycia Harvey worked at the Harris County District Attorneys Office, where she has practiced criminal law for 20 years. JP1 64,874 118,648 3,973 11 I also think the next Chair will have some work to do to improve performance and get ready for the 2024 election. Dist Patrick% Collier% Lib% Judge Ramirez is represented by John Staley. It would have been a tossup for William Demond, I didnt do the math more rigorously than what you see here, but he might have won. JP7 15.67% 81.91% 2.42% But, it requires a council approval and not a voter one under the city charter, as Mayor Pro Tem Brian Beck pointed out in early December when he tried to get his fellow council members to pass a duplicate ordinance of Proposition B to give it the budgetary teeth it needed. HD147 8,731 36,766 1,206 She was as an Assistant Criminal District Attorney in Polk County. That is slightly less than it was in 2018, the last year of straight ticket voting, when nearly 97% of the people who voted cast ballots in these races, plus the two countywide HCDE races; to put it another way, the undervote rate in these races was generally between 2.5 and 3 percent. 2504 Rusk St. #110 Hensley, who gave a presentation to the Denton City Council, said that since Nov. 1 about a week before Denton voters passed Prop B 52 citations and/or arrests were made by Denton police for misdemeanor marijuana possession or paraphernalia related to marijuana. But the prospects for any gun regulations in Texas are dim, leaving the Uvalde families convinced that the next mass shooting is only a question of time. "If it was just mismanagement, it was just gross incompetence, wouldn't one think that the lack of paper would apply equally and uniformly across the map, so that there would be roughly an equivalent number of Democratic stronghold precinct neighborhoods as well as Republican precinct stronghold neighborhoods?" HD148 16,522 19,677 Garcia, A 175,027 340,089 0 291,697 HD142 24.89% 72.10% 3.00% Dan Patrick have pushed to return it to the stiffer penalty. Any suggestion that the Harris County Elections Administrators Office lacks transparency is false, it said. Whatever happens, this should be the last word, until and unless the state gets involved. In a 4-1 vote, the court authorized County Attorney Christian Menefee to pursue a lawsuit against the comptrollers office. Mark Montgomery is represented by Elizabeth Alvarez. 1 resource, and that benefits all voters, said Jennifer Doinoff, Hays County elections administrator. The Trib, whose story published after I drafted this and which mostly recapitulates what Ive got here, has more. He has spoken with plenty of those disenfranchised voters himself, he said. HD150 35,168 21,262 Bettencourt said hes considering a bill that would raise the charges for some voting-related misdemeanors, such as failing to provide election supplies. The HBA Judicial Preference Poll is not an endorsement of any candidate. Beto won Harris County by 105K in 2022. HD144 11,924 13,703 HD130 46,145 18,886 963 5 Okay, we can move on now. Weve seen this show before Comptroller Hegar misconstruing the law and playing political games to make headlines, Menefee tweeted. Ellis 40,800 443,116 0 3,543,358 There were more people who skipped these races than did so for Railroad Commissioner, the last of the statewide executive offices, but not that much more. JP7 16.15% 83.85% And whatever else you may think about Dan Patrick, hes not an idiot. HD141 18.77% 81.23% The lawsuit is an example of why the Texas Legislature should repeal the litigation exception provision in state law that offers public offices an option to withhold records during litigation, said Bill Aleshire, an Austin attorney who works with the Freedom of Information Foundation of Texas. That is nonsense and not our job.. HD139 13,492 30,143 11 HD144 45.24% 54.76% HD139 12,325 30,301 1,174 HD141 4,494 20,290 851 15 Cause No. HD135 41.41% 54.19% 3.02% 1.38% HD130 46,320 18,701 1,229 See here and here for the background. SD18 18,199 17,006 4 300 intermediate appellate court seats. The only logical conclusion is that across the board, some number of people who votes for Beto and Collier and Garza and Hays also voted for Glenn Hegar and Dawn Buckingham and Wayne Christian. Martin represented clients in both state and federal courts, and has argued cases before the Texas Courts of Appeal throughout the state, as well as the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals. Our 2022 Candidates. The Fort Bend and Montgomery share will likely be in the 5-6K range total, but even without that wed easily have a new high total for a Houston election. If even one is bounced, Abbott could appoint a replacement for those in the criminal courts. If not, Ill be disappointed but not surprised. HD142 27.13% 72.87% HD147 23.72% 76.25% 0.03% Again, I want to stress, the goals that Act4SA and Ground Game Texas are advocating are good and laudable and I support them. The local police reform advocacy groupACT 4 SAaims to collect 35,000 signatures anticipating that some wont be verified to submit to the City Clerk before the early January deadline. HD137 40.87% 59.13% Hegar 185,671 324,329 37.58% 54.52% And finally, with a less-predatory state government, we could have a reasoned discussion and admit there are problems that could be fixed with some help from that state government and Lege find ways to do elections better that arent predicated on punishment and the exercise of raw power.
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